Henan Jianye 0-0 Changchun YaTai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.6
No
55%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.88
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.17
6+ Goals
10%
10.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 30% vs market 20.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
3.02
1/2
5%
31.0
1/X
6%
12.35
X/1
7%
5.08
X/2
13%
6.69
X/X
11%
4.85
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
10%
4.47
2/X
9%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
43%
+3.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.5pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 34%
+39% / +39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.65/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.60
+2% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / +61%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 77%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
15.4 Crosses 19.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Henan Jianye
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Changchun YaTai
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.72 xG 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
268 Passes 260
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2024 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 0-0 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
29.10.2023 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-1 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
03.07.2023 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 3-1 HT 2-1 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
11.07.2022 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 6-2 HT 3-1 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
20.06.2022 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 0-0 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
02.09.2018 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-1 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Henan Jianye
0-0
AWAY Changchun YaTai
1.73 xG 0.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
339 Passes 307
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
34 Box Touches 8
26 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Henan Jianye vs Changchun YaTai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Henan Jianye and Changchun YaTai played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Henan Jianye at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Henan Jianye had 52% of the ball to Changchun YaTai's 48%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.73 to 0.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Henan Jianye and 1.17 for Changchun YaTai.

What was the final score of Henan Jianye vs Changchun YaTai?

Henan Jianye 0-0 Changchun YaTai in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Henan Jianye vs Changchun YaTai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Henan Jianye win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Henan Jianye 47%, draw 25%, Changchun YaTai 28%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Henan Jianye) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Henan Jianye) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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