Changchun YaTai 1-2 Tianjin Teda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
33%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.78
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
3.03
6+ Goals
10%
9.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.49
1/2
7%
23.75
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
12%
6.7
X/2
11%
5.23
X/X
10%
5.26
2/1
13%
29.5
2/2
16%
3.07
2/X
5%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
32%
+10.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
33%
Away Win
42%
-9.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.9pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Tianjin Teda EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
0.80/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.41
-60% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / +35%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
294 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 81%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
17.5 Crosses 15.7
1.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changchun YaTai
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Tianjin Teda
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.40 xG 1.43
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
326 Passes 296
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.07.2024 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 4-3 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNK
06.07.2024 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 2-2 HT 2-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNSL
31.03.2024 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 0-1 HT 0-1 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
29.07.2023 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 0-0 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNSL
30.04.2023 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 1-1 HT 0-1 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
12.11.2022 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 2-3 HT 2-1 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Changchun YaTai
1-2
AWAY Tianjin Teda
0.79 xG 1.82
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 0
324 Passes 325
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 13
25 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Changchun YaTai vs Tianjin Teda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tianjin Teda edged past Changchun YaTai 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Changchun YaTai at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Changchun YaTai had 51% of the ball to Tianjin Teda's 49%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 0.79 to 1.82.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tianjin Teda led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Changchun YaTai and 1.83 for Tianjin Teda.

What was the final score of Changchun YaTai vs Tianjin Teda?

Changchun YaTai 1-2 Tianjin Teda in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changchun YaTai vs Tianjin Teda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Changchun YaTai win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Changchun YaTai 42%, draw 24%, Tianjin Teda 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Changchun YaTai) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Changchun YaTai) ✓ BTTS Yes
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