Tianjin Teda 4-3 Changchun YaTai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup, 17 Jul 2024

📅17/07/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.5
2-3 Goals
50%
1.9
4-5 Goals
15%
2.91
6+ Goals
12%
8.44
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.6
1/2
4%
32.5
1/X EV+ ✗
14%
12.95
X/1
11%
4.7
X/2
10%
7.54
X/X
11%
5.48
2/1
7%
21.85
2/2
14%
5.01
2/X
7%
13.3
Value flag · 1/X at 12.95 — our 14% vs market 4.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-7.8pp
32%
Draw
25%
+6.9pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.2pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tianjin Teda EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 31%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
325 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tianjin Teda
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Changchun YaTai
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.33 xG 1.28
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 Passes 333
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.07.2024 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 2-2 HT 2-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNSL
31.03.2024 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 0-1 HT 0-1 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
29.07.2023 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 0-0 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNSL
30.04.2023 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 1-1 HT 0-1 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
12.11.2022 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 2-3 HT 2-1 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
15.08.2022 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 2-2 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
POST-MATCH Tianjin Teda vs Changchun YaTai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tianjin Teda squeezed past Changchun YaTai 4-3. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 32% / 28% — and on the day Tianjin Teda made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tianjin Teda had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tianjin Teda and 1.17 for Changchun YaTai.

What was the final score of Tianjin Teda vs Changchun YaTai?

Tianjin Teda 4-3 Changchun YaTai in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup on 17/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tianjin Teda vs Changchun YaTai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tianjin Teda win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tianjin Teda 40%, draw 32%, Changchun YaTai 28%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tianjin Teda), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tianjin Teda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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