Qingdao Jonoon 0-2 Nanjing City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup, 17 Jul 2024

Qingdao Jonoon
0-2 HT 0-2
Nanjing City
📅17/07/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup – 2024

Qingdao Jonoon vs Nanjing City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
21%
3.28
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.74
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.28
6+ Goals
8%
21.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.99
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
14.0
X/1
19%
4.46
X/2
8%
6.63
X/X
14%
4.21
2/1
3%
28.5
2/2 EV+ ✓
23%
5.2
2/X
3%
14.4
Value flag · 2/2 at 5.2 — our 23% vs market 14.7%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.0pp
21%
Draw
27%
-5.7pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+6.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.5pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Qingdao Jonoon v Nanjing City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Nanjing City EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Qingdao Jonoon vs Nanjing City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Nanjing City
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.62 xG 0.78
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
322 Passes 264
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.10.2023 Nanjing City Nanjing City 1-0 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN2
28.06.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 HT 1-1 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
22.08.2022 Nanjing City Nanjing City 0-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNK
18.08.2022 Nanjing City Nanjing City 1-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN2
31.07.2022 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 2-1 HT 1-0 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
26.06.2022 Nanjing City Nanjing City 0-1 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Qingdao Jonoon vs Nanjing City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nanjing City saw off Qingdao Jonoon 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Qingdao Jonoon at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Qingdao Jonoon and 0.67 for Nanjing City.

What was the final score of Qingdao Jonoon vs Nanjing City?

Qingdao Jonoon 0-2 Nanjing City in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup on 17/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Jonoon vs Nanjing City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Qingdao Jonoon win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Jonoon 44%, draw 21%, Nanjing City 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Qingdao Jonoon) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Qingdao Jonoon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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