Henan Jianye 1-0 Guangxi Baoyun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup, 17 Jul 2024

📅17/07/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.29
Draw
26%
5.15
Away
20%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.43
Over 2.5
51%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.9
No
60%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
24%
5.06
2-3 Goals
39%
1.96
4-5 Goals
26%
2.74
6+ Goals
11%
7.14
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.06 — our 24% vs market 15.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
3%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
73%
-18.8pp
26%
Draw
16%
+9.3pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+9.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.5pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun EU Bookmakers 14%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-45% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
401 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Henan Jianye vs Guangxi Baoyun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Henan Jianye squeezed past Guangxi Baoyun 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Henan Jianye as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

What was the final score of Henan Jianye vs Guangxi Baoyun?

Henan Jianye 1-0 Guangxi Baoyun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup on 17/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Henan Jianye vs Guangxi Baoyun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Henan Jianye win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Henan Jianye 54%, draw 26%, Guangxi Baoyun 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Henan Jianye), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Henan Jianye) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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