Wuxi Wugou 1-3 Beijing Guoan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup, 17 Jul 2024

📅17/07/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
12.23
Draw
26%
7.13
Away
60%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
3.17
Over 2.5
54%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.16
No
51%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
8.04
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
52%
2.32
4-5 Goals
21%
2.39
6+ Goals
8%
4.21
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 2.32 — our 52% vs market 36.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
3%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
37%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
5%
+9.3pp
26%
Draw
10%
+15.6pp
60%
Away Win
85%
-25.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
28%
+18.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
72%
-18.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.4pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wuxi Wugou EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 91%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.59/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.13/0.30
-15% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +99%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
247 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Wuxi Wugou vs Beijing Guoan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beijing Guoan got the better of Wuxi Wugou 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Beijing Guoan as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Wuxi Wugou vs Beijing Guoan?

Wuxi Wugou 1-3 Beijing Guoan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup on 17/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wuxi Wugou vs Beijing Guoan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Wuxi Wugou 14%, draw 26%, Beijing Guoan 60%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beijing Guoan), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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