Zhejiang G. 1-2 Shanghai Port — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup, 17 Jul 2024

📅17/07/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.13
Draw
28%
4.49
Away
52%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
3.68
Over 2.5
46%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.38
No
55%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
9.22
2-3 Goals
46%
2.45
4-5 Goals
22%
2.34
6+ Goals
7%
3.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 9.22 — our 25% vs market 7.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.96
1/2
4%
16.8
1/X
6%
15.1
X/1
7%
11.9
X/2 EV+ ✓
30%
4.37
X/X
13%
8.33
2/1
3%
34.5
2/2
17%
1.83
2/X
10%
15.05
Value flag · X/2 at 4.37 — our 30% vs market 17.9%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
20%
-0.6pp
28%
Draw
19%
+9.8pp
52%
Away Win
61%
-9.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
24%
+30.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
76%
-30.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
68%
-23.8pp
55%
BTTS No
32%
+23.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zhejiang G. EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Port EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +150%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
298 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 431 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zhejiang G.
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Shanghai Port
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
11.01.2023 Zhejiang G. 0-0 HT 0-0 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİNK
POST-MATCH Zhejiang G. vs Shanghai Port
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Port nicked a narrow win over Zhejiang G. 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shanghai Port as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Zhejiang G. vs Shanghai Port?

Zhejiang G. 1-2 Shanghai Port in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup on 17/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zhejiang G. vs Shanghai Port?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shanghai Port win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Zhejiang G. 20%, draw 28%, Shanghai Port 52%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shanghai Port) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shanghai Port) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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