Shanghai Port 3-1 Zhejiang G. FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.34
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
1.0
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.38
No
43%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
12.35
2-3 Goals
36%
2.82
4-5 Goals
29%
2.3
6+ Goals
19%
2.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.53
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
18.1
X/1
16%
4.18
X/2
5%
16.9
X/X
10%
10.55
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
15.95
2/2
12%
9.65
2/X
5%
17.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 15.95 — our 11% vs market 3.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
70%
-12.5pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.6pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+8.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.9pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Port EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhejiang G. FC EU Bookmakers 17%
+3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
2.11/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/2.17
-2% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -79% / -20%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
412 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
24.1 Crosses 11.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Port
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Zhejiang G. FC
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.88 xG 1.15
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
284 Passes 358
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2024 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
12.08.2023 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 3-4 HT 2-1 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİN
14.05.2023 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
22.11.2022 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
20.08.2022 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 1-1 HT 1-1 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Port
3-1
AWAY Zhejiang G. FC
2.80 xG 1.02
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 16
13 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
327 Passes 313
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
47 Box Touches 23
26 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shanghai Port vs Zhejiang G. FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Port saw off Zhejiang G. FC 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shanghai Port as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Shanghai Port had 51% of the ball to Zhejiang G. FC's 49%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 2.80 to 1.02.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Zhejiang G. FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Shanghai Port and 1.60 for Zhejiang G. FC.

What was the final score of Shanghai Port vs Zhejiang G. FC?

Shanghai Port 3-1 Zhejiang G. FC in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Port vs Zhejiang G. FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shanghai Port win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Port 57%, draw 20%, Zhejiang G. FC 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shanghai Port), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shanghai Port) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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