Wuhan Three Towns 1-2 Nantong Zhiyun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 29 Jun 2024

Wuhan Three Towns
1-2 HT 0-1
Nantong Zhiyun
📅29/06/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League – 2024

Wuhan Three Towns vs Nantong Zhiyun Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.45
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 28% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.08
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.75
X/1
17%
3.8
X/2
10%
10.1
X/X
10%
5.32
2/1
8%
23.15
2/2
14%
7.97
2/X
5%
16.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-8.0pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.3pp
29%
Away Win
19%
+10.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.1pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wuhan Three Towns v Nantong Zhiyun — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wuhan Three Towns EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Nantong Zhiyun EU Bookmakers 22%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.74/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.52
+13% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +45%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 73%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
21.7 Crosses 20.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5

Wuhan Three Towns vs Nantong Zhiyun Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wuhan Three Towns
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Nantong Zhiyun
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.25 xG 1.65
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
376 Passes 332
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.03.2024 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun 1-3 HT 0-1 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN
27.08.2023 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 4-2 HT 3-1 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİN
26.07.2023 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun 2-0 HT 0-0 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNK
23.05.2023 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun 0-5 HT 0-2 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN
01.10.2021 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 2-0 HT 1-0 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİN2
13.09.2021 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun 1-2 HT 0-0 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN2

Wuhan Three Towns 1-2 Nantong Zhiyun — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wuhan Three Towns
1-2
AWAY Nantong Zhiyun
0.44 xG 0.77
68% Ball Possession 32%
13 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 0
420 Passes 175
82% Pass Accuracy 68%
34 Box Touches 4
40 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wuhan Three Towns vs Nantong Zhiyun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nantong Zhiyun nicked a narrow win over Wuhan Three Towns 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Wuhan Three Towns at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Wuhan Three Towns had 68% of the ball to Nantong Zhiyun's 32%, shots finished 13-4, expected goals 0.44 to 0.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wuhan Three Towns had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Wuhan Three Towns and 1.00 for Nantong Zhiyun.

What was the final score of Wuhan Three Towns vs Nantong Zhiyun?

Wuhan Three Towns 1-2 Nantong Zhiyun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wuhan Three Towns vs Nantong Zhiyun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wuhan Three Towns win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Wuhan Three Towns 50%, draw 21%, Nantong Zhiyun 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wuhan Three Towns)
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