Nantong Zhiyun 1-3 Wuhan Three Towns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 9 Mar 2024

Nantong Zhiyun
1-3 HT 0-1
Wuhan Three Towns
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League – 2024

Nantong Zhiyun vs Wuhan Three Towns Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
41%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.53
2-3 Goals
45%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.39
6+ Goals
7%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.53 — our 28% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.9
1/2
11%
27.0
1/X
3%
13.05
X/1
15%
5.82
X/2
22%
5.33
X/X
18%
4.78
2/1
4%
29.0
2/2
8%
3.45
2/X
3%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
41%
Away Win
38%
+3.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.0pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nantong Zhiyun v Wuhan Three Towns — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nantong Zhiyun EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns EU Bookmakers 42%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.05/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.54
-55% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
281 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
20.8 Crosses 12.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5

Nantong Zhiyun vs Wuhan Three Towns Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nantong Zhiyun
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.60
1.65 xG 2.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 5
366 Passes 360
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.08.2023 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 4-2 HT 3-1 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİN
26.07.2023 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun 2-0 HT 0-0 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNK
23.05.2023 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun 0-5 HT 0-2 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN
01.10.2021 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 2-0 HT 1-0 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİN2
13.09.2021 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun 1-2 HT 0-0 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN2

Nantong Zhiyun 1-3 Wuhan Three Towns — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nantong Zhiyun
1-3
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
264 Passes 410
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
POST-MATCH Nantong Zhiyun vs Wuhan Three Towns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wuhan Three Towns got the better of Nantong Zhiyun 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Wuhan Three Towns as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Nantong Zhiyun had 43% of the ball to Wuhan Three Towns's 57%, shots finished 8-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Wuhan Three Towns led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nantong Zhiyun and 2.60 for Wuhan Three Towns.

What was the final score of Nantong Zhiyun vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Nantong Zhiyun 1-3 Wuhan Three Towns in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nantong Zhiyun vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wuhan Three Towns win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nantong Zhiyun 34%, draw 25%, Wuhan Three Towns 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wuhan Three Towns), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wuhan Three Towns) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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