Henan Jianye 2-2 Meizhou Hakka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.97
Over 2.5
41%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.75
No
59%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.62
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
3.33
6+ Goals
8%
12.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 35% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.22
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.75
X/1 EV+ ✗
25%
4.0
X/2
4%
9.18
X/X
8%
5.28
2/1
4%
22.7
2/2
14%
6.96
2/X
8%
15.35
Value flag · X/1 at 4.0 — our 25% vs market 19.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
54%
-0.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
47%
+12.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
53%
-12.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
53%
-11.7pp
59%
BTTS No
47%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Meizhou Hakka EU Bookmakers 24%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.68/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.58
+15% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
405 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
17.6 Crosses 16.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Henan Jianye
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Meizhou Hakka
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.70 xG 1.31
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
237 Passes 247
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
15 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.09.2023 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 0-0 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
03.06.2023 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 2-1 HT 0-1 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
08.11.2022 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 3-2 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
13.08.2022 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 0-1 HT 0-1 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Henan Jianye
2-2
AWAY Meizhou Hakka
1.70 xG 0.91
65% Ball Possession 35%
24 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 3
344 Passes 153
78% Pass Accuracy 62%
40 Box Touches 15
28 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Henan Jianye vs Meizhou Hakka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Henan Jianye and Meizhou Hakka couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Henan Jianye at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Henan Jianye had 65% of the ball to Meizhou Hakka's 35%, shots finished 24-6, expected goals 1.70 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Meizhou Hakka led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Henan Jianye and 1.25 for Meizhou Hakka.

What was the final score of Henan Jianye vs Meizhou Hakka?

Henan Jianye 2-2 Meizhou Hakka in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Henan Jianye vs Meizhou Hakka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Henan Jianye win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Henan Jianye 54%, draw 24%, Meizhou Hakka 22%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Henan Jianye) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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