Beijing Guoan 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 17 Jun 2025

📅17/06/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.34
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.59
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.35
2-3 Goals
36%
2.0
4-5 Goals
31%
2.55
6+ Goals
12%
5.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.58
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
18.5
X/1
17%
4.05
X/2
6%
16.3
X/X
11%
8.14
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
19.7
2/2
5%
12.7
2/X
6%
21.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.7 — our 10% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
70%
-8.3pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.1pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.9pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 16%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
2.33/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/2.44
+31% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
374 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
33.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
19.1 Crosses 12.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beijing Guoan
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.26 xG 1.23
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
455 Passes 293
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.05.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 HT 0-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
19.10.2024 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 6-0 HT 2-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
11.08.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 2-2 HT 0-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
21.05.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 HT 0-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
21.04.2024 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 4-1 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
26.07.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-4 HT 0-2 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beijing Guoan
1-0
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
1.08 xG 0.60
71% Ball Possession 29%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
538 Passes 174
87% Pass Accuracy 73%
31 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Jonoon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beijing Guoan squeezed past Qingdao Jonoon 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Beijing Guoan as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Beijing Guoan had 71% of the ball to Qingdao Jonoon's 29%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.08 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beijing Guoan had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Beijing Guoan and 1.00 for Qingdao Jonoon.

What was the final score of Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Beijing Guoan 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 17/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Beijing Guoan 62%, draw 22%, Qingdao Jonoon 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beijing Guoan) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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