Qingdao Jonoon 1-3 Beijing Guoan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.5
No
33%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.44
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
26%
2.67
6+ Goals
13%
7.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.45
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
21.45
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
8%
6.97
X/2
17%
5.17
X/X
13%
5.6
2/1
5%
27.5
2/2
21%
2.81
2/X
7%
12.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.45 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
31%
-4.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
47%
Away Win
45%
+2.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.3pp
67%
BTTS Yes
62%
+4.2pp
33%
BTTS No
38%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 49%
+18% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.67/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.43
+27% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +15%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
270 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 85%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
18.7 Crosses 12.7
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Beijing Guoan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.04 xG 1.40
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
281 Passes 464
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.07.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 2-2 HT 0-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNK
17.06.2025 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 1-0 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
17.05.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 HT 0-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
19.10.2024 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 6-0 HT 2-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
11.08.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 2-2 HT 0-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
21.05.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 HT 0-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
1-3
AWAY Beijing Guoan
2.13 xG 1.40
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
221 Passes 443
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beijing Guoan got the better of Qingdao Jonoon 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Beijing Guoan as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (67%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Qingdao Jonoon had 37% of the ball to Beijing Guoan's 63%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 2.13 to 1.40 — on chances, Qingdao Jonoon could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beijing Guoan led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Qingdao Jonoon and 2.17 for Beijing Guoan.

What was the final score of Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan?

Qingdao Jonoon 1-3 Beijing Guoan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Jonoon 27%, draw 26%, Beijing Guoan 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beijing Guoan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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