Shenzhen FC 1-3 Shandong Taishan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.18
Over 2.5
62%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.55
No
39%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.06
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
2.8
6+ Goals
11%
8.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
4.56
1/2
8%
21.95
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
14%
6.87
X/2
17%
5.01
X/X
11%
5.48
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
29.0
2/2
22%
2.81
2/X
5%
12.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.0 — our 8% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.1pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.2pp
47%
Away Win
45%
+2.3pp
38%
Under 2.5
42%
-3.9pp
62%
Over 2.5
58%
+3.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.9pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shenzhen FC EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Shandong Taishan EU Bookmakers 49%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.57/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/2.28
+7% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -52%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
323 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 79%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
25.0 Crosses 14.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shenzhen FC
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Shandong Taishan
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.56 xG 2.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
271 Passes 409
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Box Touches 33
10 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.04.2025 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 4-0 HT 4-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
28.09.2024 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 1-4 HT 0-0 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNSL
16.05.2024 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 3-2 HT 2-1 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
25.08.2023 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNSL
24.05.2023 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 3-0 HT 1-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİN
19.12.2022 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 8-0 HT 3-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shenzhen FC
1-3
AWAY Shandong Taishan
1.36 xG 1.95
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 0
382 Passes 412
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shenzhen FC vs Shandong Taishan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shandong Taishan beat Shenzhen FC 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shandong Taishan as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Shenzhen FC had 49% of the ball to Shandong Taishan's 51%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.36 to 1.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shandong Taishan led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Shenzhen FC and 4.00 for Shandong Taishan.

What was the final score of Shenzhen FC vs Shandong Taishan?

Shenzhen FC 1-3 Shandong Taishan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shenzhen FC vs Shandong Taishan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shandong Taishan win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Shenzhen FC 30%, draw 22%, Shandong Taishan 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shandong Taishan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shandong Taishan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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