Changchun YaTai 1-0 Meizhou Hakka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.09
6+ Goals
10%
10.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.87
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
12.5
X/1
14%
4.95
X/2
8%
6.92
X/X
8%
4.89
2/1
7%
23.65
2/2
19%
4.82
2/X
6%
13.1
Value flag · 1/X at 12.5 — our 10% vs market 5.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-2.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.0pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Meizhou Hakka EU Bookmakers 32%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
1.39/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.27/2.67
+24% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -34%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
305 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.2
13.8 Crosses 23.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changchun YaTai
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Meizhou Hakka
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.97 xG 2.15
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
323 Passes 267
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.04.2025 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 1-3 HT 0-2 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNSL
17.08.2024 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 2-1 HT 2-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNSL
26.04.2024 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 0-1 HT 0-0 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
08.08.2023 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 4-2 HT 2-1 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
10.05.2023 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 2-4 HT 2-1 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
23.12.2022 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 1-0 HT 1-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Changchun YaTai
1-0
AWAY Meizhou Hakka
0.70 xG 2.72
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
246 Passes 290
71% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 29
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Changchun YaTai vs Meizhou Hakka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Changchun YaTai edged past Meizhou Hakka 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Changchun YaTai as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Changchun YaTai had 46% of the ball to Meizhou Hakka's 54%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.70 to 2.72 — on chances, Meizhou Hakka could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Meizhou Hakka led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Changchun YaTai and 2.17 for Meizhou Hakka.

What was the final score of Changchun YaTai vs Meizhou Hakka?

Changchun YaTai 1-0 Meizhou Hakka in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changchun YaTai vs Meizhou Hakka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Changchun YaTai win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Changchun YaTai 43%, draw 24%, Meizhou Hakka 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Changchun YaTai) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Changchun YaTai) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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