Changchun YaTai 0-1 Meizhou Hakka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.39
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.02
6+ Goals
8%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.5
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
15.4
X/1
18%
3.88
X/2
8%
8.45
X/X
15%
3.95
2/1
8%
29.5
2/2
16%
7.4
2/X
6%
16.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-5.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.1pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Meizhou Hakka EU Bookmakers 24%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.32/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.44
+20% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 72%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
20.5 Crosses 16.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changchun YaTai
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Meizhou Hakka
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
1.01 xG 1.95
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
276 Passes 319
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.08.2023 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 4-2 HT 2-1 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
10.05.2023 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 2-4 HT 2-1 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
23.12.2022 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 1-0 HT 1-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
29.10.2022 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 1-0 HT 1-0 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Changchun YaTai
0-1
AWAY Meizhou Hakka
1.30 xG 2.20
71% Ball Possession 29%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
503 Passes 141
82% Pass Accuracy 58%
24 Box Touches 28
23 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Changchun YaTai vs Meizhou Hakka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meizhou Hakka edged past Changchun YaTai 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Changchun YaTai at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Changchun YaTai had 71% of the ball to Meizhou Hakka's 29%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.30 to 2.20.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Meizhou Hakka led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Changchun YaTai and 2.25 for Meizhou Hakka.

What was the final score of Changchun YaTai vs Meizhou Hakka?

Changchun YaTai 0-1 Meizhou Hakka in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changchun YaTai vs Meizhou Hakka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Changchun YaTai win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Changchun YaTai 47%, draw 25%, Meizhou Hakka 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Changchun YaTai) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Changchun YaTai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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