Wuhan Three Towns 2-1 Tianjin Teda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
40%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.45
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
2.68
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.2
X/1
14%
4.51
X/2 EV+ ✗
20%
7.42
X/X
10%
4.75
2/1
9%
24.45
2/2
15%
5.41
2/X
5%
13.7
Value flag · X/2 at 7.42 — our 20% vs market 9.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
48%
-11.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
40%
Away Win
26%
+14.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.1pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wuhan Three Towns EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Tianjin Teda EU Bookmakers 30%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +15%
1.67/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.39
-2% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
26.0 Crosses 13.3
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wuhan Three Towns
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Tianjin Teda
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.15 xG 1.22
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
370 Passes 364
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 0-1 HT 0-0 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
04.06.2023 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 1-1 HT 1-1 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN
18.12.2022 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 3-0 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİNK
08.10.2022 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 0-1 HT 0-0 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wuhan Three Towns
2-1
AWAY Tianjin Teda
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
376 Passes 323
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
POST-MATCH Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Teda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wuhan Three Towns nicked a narrow win over Tianjin Teda 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and on the day Wuhan Three Towns made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Wuhan Three Towns had 52% of the ball to Tianjin Teda's 48%, shots finished 13-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Wuhan Three Towns had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Wuhan Three Towns and 0.50 for Tianjin Teda.

What was the final score of Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Teda?

Wuhan Three Towns 2-1 Tianjin Teda in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Teda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tianjin Teda win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Wuhan Three Towns 36%, draw 24%, Tianjin Teda 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tianjin Teda) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tianjin Teda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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