Zhejiang G. FC 1-2 Beijing Guoan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.38
Over 2.5
48%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
5.24
2-3 Goals
41%
1.97
4-5 Goals
23%
2.71
6+ Goals
8%
6.84
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.24 — our 28% vs market 14.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.6
1/2
9%
22.3
1/X
7%
11.9
X/1
12%
7.51
X/2
17%
5.21
X/X
13%
5.39
2/1
5%
30.0
2/2
16%
2.74
2/X
10%
11.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-2.6pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.7pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
38%
+14.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
62%
-14.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.0pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zhejiang G. FC EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 49%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +8%
1.13/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.02
+5% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 80%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
18.0 Crosses 17.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zhejiang G. FC
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Beijing Guoan
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.31 xG 1.54
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
262 Passes 330
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2023 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 0-1 HT 0-0 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİN
28.05.2023 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 3-2 HT 1-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
30.11.2022 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
06.09.2022 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 2-2 HT 1-1 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zhejiang G. FC
1-2
AWAY Beijing Guoan
2.04 xG 0.64
64% Ball Possession 36%
26 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
437 Passes 228
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
42 Box Touches 11
28 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Zhejiang G. FC vs Beijing Guoan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beijing Guoan squeezed past Zhejiang G. FC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Beijing Guoan as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Zhejiang G. FC had 64% of the ball to Beijing Guoan's 36%, shots finished 26-7, expected goals 2.04 to 0.64 — on chances, Zhejiang G. FC could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Zhejiang G. FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Zhejiang G. FC and 1.00 for Beijing Guoan.

What was the final score of Zhejiang G. FC vs Beijing Guoan?

Zhejiang G. FC 1-2 Beijing Guoan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zhejiang G. FC vs Beijing Guoan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Zhejiang G. FC 27%, draw 30%, Beijing Guoan 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beijing Guoan), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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