Cangzhou Mighty Lions 2-3 Henan Jianye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 26 Apr 2024

Cangzhou Mighty Lions
2-3 HT 0-1
Henan Jianye
📅26/04/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League – 2024

Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Henan Jianye Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.32
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
48%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.55
No
54%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.41
2-3 Goals
41%
1.89
4-5 Goals
25%
2.94
6+ Goals
9%
8.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.41 — our 25% vs market 17.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.36
1/2
9%
22.7
1/X
4%
12.5
X/1
14%
8.06
X/2
6%
4.81
X/X
13%
5.08
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
34%
2.56
2/X
4%
12.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.7pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.6pp
48%
Away Win
47%
+0.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
60%
-14.5pp
54%
BTTS No
40%
+14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cangzhou Mighty Lions v Henan Jianye — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cangzhou Mighty Lions EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 51%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.86/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/0.70
-18% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
13.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
12.9 Crosses 17.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.4

Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Henan Jianye Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cangzhou Mighty Lions
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Henan Jianye
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.37 xG 1.75
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
300 Passes 316
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 6-0 HT 3-0 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN
28.06.2023 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 0-1 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
15.12.2022 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 1-1 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
24.10.2022 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 3-0 HT 2-0 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN
27.07.2021 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 2-1 HT 0-0 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN
27.04.2021 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 0-0 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL

Cangzhou Mighty Lions 2-3 Henan Jianye — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cangzhou Mighty Lions
2-3
AWAY Henan Jianye
1.61 xG 1.78
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 6
214 Passes 488
74% Pass Accuracy 89%
24 Box Touches 37
19 Crosses 40
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Henan Jianye
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Henan Jianye nicked a narrow win over Cangzhou Mighty Lions 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Henan Jianye as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Cangzhou Mighty Lions had 34% of the ball to Henan Jianye's 66%, shots finished 9-21, expected goals 1.61 to 1.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Henan Jianye led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Cangzhou Mighty Lions and 2.17 for Henan Jianye.

What was the final score of Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Henan Jianye?

Cangzhou Mighty Lions 2-3 Henan Jianye in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Henan Jianye?

Before kick-off our model rated an Henan Jianye win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Cangzhou Mighty Lions 30%, draw 22%, Henan Jianye 48%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Henan Jianye) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Henan Jianye) ✗ BTTS No
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