Meizhou Hakka 1-3 Changchun YaTai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.44
2-3 Goals
36%
1.88
4-5 Goals
29%
2.76
6+ Goals
12%
7.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.47
1/2
9%
34.0
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1
11%
4.9
X/2
9%
8.46
X/X
10%
5.64
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
21.35
2/2
10%
5.77
2/X
8%
13.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.35 — our 11% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-1.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.1pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meizhou Hakka EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 29%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.94/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/2.09
-7% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 76%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
16.9 Crosses 20.1
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meizhou Hakka
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Changchun YaTai
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.08 xG 0.97
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
268 Passes 326
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 2-1 HT 2-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNSL
26.04.2024 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 0-1 HT 0-0 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
08.08.2023 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 4-2 HT 2-1 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
10.05.2023 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 2-4 HT 2-1 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
23.12.2022 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 1-0 HT 1-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
29.10.2022 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 1-0 HT 1-0 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Meizhou Hakka
1-3
AWAY Changchun YaTai
1.75 xG 0.77
69% Ball Possession 31%
21 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
16 Corners 5
442 Passes 156
85% Pass Accuracy 65%
33 Box Touches 11
40 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Meizhou Hakka vs Changchun YaTai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Changchun YaTai beat Meizhou Hakka 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Meizhou Hakka at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Meizhou Hakka had 69% of the ball to Changchun YaTai's 31%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 1.75 to 0.77 — on chances, Meizhou Hakka could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Meizhou Hakka had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Meizhou Hakka and 1.00 for Changchun YaTai.

What was the final score of Meizhou Hakka vs Changchun YaTai?

Meizhou Hakka 1-3 Changchun YaTai in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meizhou Hakka vs Changchun YaTai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Meizhou Hakka win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Meizhou Hakka 49%, draw 24%, Changchun YaTai 28%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Meizhou Hakka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Meizhou Hakka) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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ÇİNSL More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
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