Meizhou Hakka vs Changchun YaTai Prediction — Model Probabilities
Meizhou Hakka v Changchun YaTai — Team-Based Signals
Meizhou Hakka vs Changchun YaTai Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Meizhou Hakka 2-1 Changchun YaTai — Actual Match Statistics
Meizhou Hakka edged past Changchun YaTai 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Meizhou Hakka as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%) came home.
Under the surface, Meizhou Hakka had 37% of the ball to Changchun YaTai's 63%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 2.47 to 0.45 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Meizhou Hakka's control.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Meizhou Hakka had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Meizhou Hakka and 1.00 for Changchun YaTai.
Meizhou Hakka vs Changchun YaTai Result & Final Score
Meizhou Hakka 2 - 1 Changchun YaTai in the China - Super League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Meizhou Hakka vs Changchun YaTai Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Meizhou Hakka win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Meizhou Hakka 48%, draw 25%, Changchun YaTai 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Meizhou Hakka), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.