Qingdao Jonoon 1-0 Shenzhen FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.42
2-3 Goals
35%
1.79
4-5 Goals
26%
3.47
6+ Goals
10%
13.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.55
1/2
4%
29.0
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
9%
5.4
X/2
14%
5.73
X/X
13%
4.66
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
28.0
2/2
19%
3.85
2/X
6%
13.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 6% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+2.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.0pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Shenzhen FC EU Bookmakers 38%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.24/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.12
+15% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +146%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
21.9 Crosses 21.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Shenzhen FC
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.69 xG 1.63
42% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
252 Passes 382
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
26.04.2024 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 1-3 HT 0-3 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
12.07.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 5-0 HT 1-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
16.04.2023 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 2-1 HT 2-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
1-0
AWAY Shenzhen FC
0.61 xG 0.57
34% Ball Possession 66%
6 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 2
189 Passes 438
71% Pass Accuracy 87%
17 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 30
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Qingdao Jonoon vs Shenzhen FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qingdao Jonoon squeezed past Shenzhen FC 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Qingdao Jonoon made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Qingdao Jonoon had 34% of the ball to Shenzhen FC's 66%, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 0.61 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Qingdao Jonoon had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Qingdao Jonoon and 1.00 for Shenzhen FC.

What was the final score of Qingdao Jonoon vs Shenzhen FC?

Qingdao Jonoon 1-0 Shenzhen FC in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Jonoon vs Shenzhen FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Qingdao Jonoon win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Jonoon 38%, draw 25%, Shenzhen FC 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Qingdao Jonoon) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Qingdao Jonoon) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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