Shenzhen FC 1-3 Qingdao Jonoon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.61
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.51
6+ Goals
8%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.72
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
13%
4.27
X/2
5%
7.71
X/X
18%
3.96
2/1
4%
28.5
2/2 EV+ ✓
16%
6.28
2/X
4%
14.45
Value flag · 2/2 at 6.28 — our 16% vs market 11.7%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.9pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shenzhen FC EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -33%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
Crosses 22.2
Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shenzhen FC
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.71 xG 2.25
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
390 Passes 275
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.07.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 5-0 HT 1-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
16.04.2023 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 2-1 HT 2-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shenzhen FC
1-3
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
2.36 xG 1.16
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
360 Passes 167
79% Pass Accuracy 62%
31 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Shenzhen FC vs Qingdao Jonoon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qingdao Jonoon beat Shenzhen FC 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match lean was Shenzhen FC at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shenzhen FC had 64% of the ball to Qingdao Jonoon's 36%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 2.36 to 1.16 — the balance of chances actually favoured Shenzhen FC.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shenzhen FC and 3.00 for Qingdao Jonoon.

What was the final score of Shenzhen FC vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Shenzhen FC 1-3 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shenzhen FC vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shenzhen FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Shenzhen FC 45%, draw 28%, Qingdao Jonoon 27%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shenzhen FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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ÇİNSL More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
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