Chengdu Qianbao 0-1 Shandong Taishan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
17%
3.72
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.96
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.35
No
50%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
7.29
2-3 Goals
40%
2.22
4-5 Goals
28%
2.44
6+ Goals
12%
4.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.56
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
27.5
1/X
9%
12.2
X/1
13%
5.25
X/2
15%
7.8
X/X
4%
6.45
2/1
5%
19.75
2/2
14%
4.42
2/X
4%
12.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.5 — our 7% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+0.7pp
17%
Draw
24%
-6.8pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
70%
-19.9pp
50%
BTTS No
30%
+19.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Shandong Taishan EU Bookmakers 33%
-56% / -56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.99/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.61
-100% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 81%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
24.0 Crosses 16.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Shandong Taishan
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.91 xG 1.52
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
263 Passes 378
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.08.2023 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 0-1 HT 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
10.05.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-2 HT 0-0 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
21.11.2022 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-1 HT 2-1 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
21.08.2022 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 2-1 HT 1-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
0-1
AWAY Shandong Taishan
1.78 xG 0.27
68% Ball Possession 32%
19 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
373 Passes 135
78% Pass Accuracy 60%
36 Box Touches 6
21 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Chengdu Qianbao vs Shandong Taishan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shandong Taishan nicked a narrow win over Chengdu Qianbao 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Chengdu Qianbao at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chengdu Qianbao had 68% of the ball to Shandong Taishan's 32%, shots finished 19-4, expected goals 1.78 to 0.27 — on chances, Chengdu Qianbao could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chengdu Qianbao had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chengdu Qianbao and 1.25 for Shandong Taishan.

What was the final score of Chengdu Qianbao vs Shandong Taishan?

Chengdu Qianbao 0-1 Shandong Taishan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chengdu Qianbao vs Shandong Taishan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Chengdu Qianbao 48%, draw 17%, Shandong Taishan 36%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✗ Over 2.5
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