Shandong Taishan 3-0 Chengdu Qianbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.91
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
47%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
4.11
2-3 Goals
34%
1.85
4-5 Goals
20%
3.06
6+ Goals
12%
9.73
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.11 — our 34% vs market 19.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
10.8
1/2
4%
21.85
1/X
4%
18.9
X/1
7%
13.75
X/2
7%
3.59
X/X
18%
6.41
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
36%
1.74
2/X
4%
18.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
14%
+12.5pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.6pp
47%
Away Win
66%
-19.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.4pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shandong Taishan EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 70%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.26/2.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.10
-100% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +88% / -25%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
262 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 82%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.7
16.0 Crosses 18.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shandong Taishan
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.27 xG 1.08
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
329 Passes 285
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2024 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 0-1 HT 0-1 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNSL
08.08.2023 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 0-1 HT 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
10.05.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-2 HT 0-0 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
21.11.2022 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-1 HT 2-1 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
21.08.2022 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 2-1 HT 1-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shandong Taishan
3-0
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
0.60 xG 3.90
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 24
6 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 10
169 Passes 408
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
7 Box Touches 44
8 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shandong Taishan vs Chengdu Qianbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shandong Taishan ran out comfortable winners over Chengdu Qianbao 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Chengdu Qianbao at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Shandong Taishan had 32% of the ball to Chengdu Qianbao's 68%, shots finished 7-24, expected goals 0.60 to 3.90 — the balance of chances actually favoured Chengdu Qianbao.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Shandong Taishan and 1.20 for Chengdu Qianbao.

What was the final score of Shandong Taishan vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Shandong Taishan 3-0 Chengdu Qianbao in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shandong Taishan vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Shandong Taishan 26%, draw 26%, Chengdu Qianbao 47%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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