Qingdao Jonoon 2-2 Beijing Guoan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup, 22 Jul 2025

📅22/07/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
44%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.73
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.04
6+ Goals
10%
9.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.84
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
26.0
1/X
9%
12.9
X/1
10%
6.04
X/2
17%
5.76
X/X
11%
5.12
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
19%
3.57
2/X
7%
12.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.0 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
37%
-7.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
44%
Away Win
37%
+7.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.9pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 40%
+51% / +51% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+39% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
290 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Beijing Guoan
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.10 xG 2.03
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
274 Passes 469
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.06.2025 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 1-0 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
17.05.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 HT 0-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
19.10.2024 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 6-0 HT 2-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
11.08.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 2-2 HT 0-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
21.05.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 HT 0-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
21.04.2024 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 4-1 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
POST-MATCH Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qingdao Jonoon and Beijing Guoan shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Beijing Guoan at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beijing Guoan led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Qingdao Jonoon and 2.50 for Beijing Guoan.

What was the final score of Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan?

Qingdao Jonoon 2-2 Beijing Guoan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup on 22/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Jonoon 29%, draw 27%, Beijing Guoan 44%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Beijing Guoan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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