Cardiff City 0-2 Lincoln City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.8
Over
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.92
2-3
39%
1.71
4-5
22%
3.57
6+
10%
15.05
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.92 — our 29% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.83
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
12.95
X/1
17%
4.72
X/2
11%
7.14
X/X
12%
4.44
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
12%
5.37
2/X
7%
13.7
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff City The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Lincoln City The Market 30%
Strong Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Great Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.37 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.18
1.47 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.16
Great Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Average
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
293 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 72%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
13.0 Crosses 16.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff City
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Lincoln City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.80 xG 1.26
67% Ball Possession 33%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
484 Passes 192
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
20.12.2025 Lincoln City Lincoln City 2-1 HT 1-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İN1
10.03.2001 Lincoln City Lincoln City 2-0 HT 0-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İN2
22.11.2000 Cardiff City Cardiff City 3-2 HT 1-2 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cardiff City
0-2
AWAY Lincoln City
0.53 xG 0.89
78% Ball Possession 22%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
593 Passes 130
88% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Box Touches 25
27 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Cardiff City vs Lincoln City
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Lincoln City put daylight between themselves and Cardiff City 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

A gentle 47% lean on Cardiff City didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 48% and both teams to score at 50%. At 1.76 (~57%), the BTTS-yes price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

On the day, Cardiff City had 78% of the ball to Lincoln City's 22%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.53 to 0.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lincoln City led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cardiff City and 2.00 for Lincoln City.

Cardiff City vs Lincoln City Result & Final Score

Cardiff City 0-2 Lincoln City in the England - 1st Division on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Cardiff City vs Lincoln City Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Cardiff City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cardiff City 47%, draw 24%, Lincoln City 29%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cardiff City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cardiff City) ✓ Under 2.5
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