Burton Albion 0-1 Stevenage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.48
Over
41%
2.3
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.12
No
55%
1.64
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2.12
2-3
38%
1.73
4-5
18%
5.17
6+
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.69
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.9
X/1
14%
4.86
X/2
7%
5.57
X/X
18%
3.73
2/1
9%
34.0
2/2
21%
4.53
2/X
6%
15.2
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burton Albion The Market 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Stevenage The Market 36%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.20 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.91
1.08 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.06
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Strong
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 66%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
21.4 Crosses 16.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burton Albion
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Stevenage
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.87 xG 1.72
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
183 Passes 305
58% Pass Accuracy 70%
15 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.12.2025 Stevenage Stevenage 2-2 HT 0-1 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
18.02.2025 Stevenage Stevenage 0-1 HT 0-1 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
10.12.2024 Burton Albion Burton Albion 0-4 HT 0-1 Stevenage Stevenage İNTK
24.08.2024 Burton Albion Burton Albion 0-0 HT 0-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
13.04.2024 Stevenage Stevenage 1-2 HT 0-1 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
09.12.2023 Burton Albion Burton Albion 1-2 HT 1-1 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burton Albion
0-1
AWAY Stevenage
0.29 xG 0.86
58% Ball Possession 42%
5 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 5
271 Passes 189
66% Pass Accuracy 63%
15 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Burton Albion vs Stevenage
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Stevenage squeezed past Burton Albion 1-0 on the road.

The model refused to pick a side here (37% / 29% / 34%); Stevenage picked one for it. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, possession split 58% to 42% in Burton Albion's favour, shots finished 5-10, expected goals 0.29 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Burton Albion against 1.50 for Stevenage.

Burton Albion vs Stevenage Result & Final Score

Burton Albion 0-1 Stevenage in the England - 1st Division on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Burton Albion vs Stevenage Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Burton Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Burton Albion 37%, draw 29%, Stevenage 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Burton Albion) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Burton Albion) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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