Stevenage vs Burton Albion Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stevenage v Burton Albion — Team-Based Signals
Stevenage vs Burton Albion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Stevenage
İN1
1-1
HT 1-1
Stevenage
İN2
1-0
HT 0-0
Burton Albion
İN2
0-2
HT 0-1
Stevenage
İN2
2-1
HT 1-0
Burton Albion
İN2
2-0
HT 1-0
Stevenage
İBSL
Stevenage 1-2 Burton Albion — Actual Match Statistics
Burton Albion squeezed past Stevenage 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Stevenage at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Stevenage had 75% of the ball to Burton Albion's 25%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.77 to 0.41 — on chances, Stevenage could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stevenage had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Stevenage and 0.83 for Burton Albion.
What was the final score of Stevenage vs Burton Albion?
Stevenage 1-2 Burton Albion in the England - 1st Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stevenage vs Burton Albion?
Before kick-off our model rated a Stevenage win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Stevenage 51%, draw 28%, Burton Albion 21%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.