Fleetwood Town 2-0 Northampton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2024

Fleetwood Town
2-0 HT 2-0
Northampton Town
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Fleetwood Town vs Northampton Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.29
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.58
6+ Goals
9%
14.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 31% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.74
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
21%
4.5
X/2
9%
7.23
X/X
13%
4.65
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
12%
5.34
2/X
5%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-2.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.0pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fleetwood Town v Northampton Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Northampton Town EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
1.26/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.22
-19% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
294 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 66%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
21.8 Crosses 14.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Fleetwood Town vs Northampton Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fleetwood Town
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Northampton Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.63 xG 1.59
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 Passes 209
69% Pass Accuracy 61%
21 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.12.2023 Northampton Town Northampton Town 3-0 HT 2-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
26.01.2021 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
01.12.2020 Northampton Town Northampton Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
24.03.2018 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
12.08.2017 Northampton Town Northampton Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
25.02.2017 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 3-0 HT 1-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1

Fleetwood Town 2-0 Northampton Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fleetwood Town
2-0
AWAY Northampton Town
2.00 xG 0.39
32% Ball Possession 68%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
135 Passes 403
60% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fleetwood Town vs Northampton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fleetwood Town saw off Northampton Town 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fleetwood Town as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Fleetwood Town had 32% of the ball to Northampton Town's 68%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 2.00 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fleetwood Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fleetwood Town and 0.67 for Northampton Town.

What was the final score of Fleetwood Town vs Northampton Town?

Fleetwood Town 2-0 Northampton Town in the England - 1st Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fleetwood Town vs Northampton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fleetwood Town win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Fleetwood Town 44%, draw 28%, Northampton Town 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fleetwood Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fleetwood Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN1 More England - 1st Division
13 Apr 2024
17:00 Oxford United vs Peterborough United Analysis →
17:00 Shrewsbury vs Wycombe Wanderers Analysis →
17:00 Barnsley vs Reading Analysis →
17:00 Cheltenham Town vs Bristol Rovers Analysis →
17:00 Derby County vs Leyton Orient Analysis →
17:00 Port Vale vs Exeter City Analysis →