Port Vale vs Exeter City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Port Vale v Exeter City — Team-Based Signals
Port Vale vs Exeter City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Port Vale
İN1
1-0
HT 0-0
Exeter City
İN1
2-3
HT 1-1
Exeter City
FAK
4-0
HT 2-0
Port Vale
İN1
0-1
HT 0-1
Port Vale
İN2
0-0
HT 0-0
Exeter City
İN2
Port Vale 2-4 Exeter City — Actual Match Statistics
Exeter City saw off Port Vale 4-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Exeter City found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Port Vale had 44% of the ball to Exeter City's 56%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.65 to 1.66.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Port Vale had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Port Vale and 1.17 for Exeter City.
What was the final score of Port Vale vs Exeter City?
Port Vale 2-4 Exeter City in the England - 1st Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Port Vale vs Exeter City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Port Vale win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Port Vale 37%, draw 28%, Exeter City 36%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Port Vale), Under 2.5 went the other way.