Oxford United 5-0 Peterborough United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2024

Oxford United
5-0 HT 3-0
Peterborough United
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Oxford United vs Peterborough United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.91
2-3 Goals
37%
1.94
4-5 Goals
26%
2.79
6+ Goals
11%
7.44
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.0
1/2
8%
23.15
1/X
5%
12.2
X/1
16%
6.58
X/2
14%
5.45
X/X
15%
5.39
2/1
9%
27.5
2/2
16%
3.07
2/X
6%
12.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.6pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Oxford United v Peterborough United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oxford United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterborough United EU Bookmakers 45%
-9% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
1.35/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.04
-12% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 70%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
20.0 Crosses 18.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.4

Oxford United vs Peterborough United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oxford United
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Peterborough United
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.78 xG 1.68
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
332 Passes 341
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
09.12.2023 Peterborough United Peterborough United 3-0 HT 2-0 Oxford United Oxford United İN1
01.04.2023 Peterborough United Peterborough United 0-0 HT 0-0 Oxford United Oxford United İN1
22.10.2022 Oxford United Oxford United 1-2 HT 0-2 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
02.03.2021 Oxford United Oxford United 0-0 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
07.11.2020 Oxford United Oxford United 1-2 HT 1-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United FAK
17.10.2020 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-0 HT 1-0 Oxford United Oxford United İN1

Oxford United 5-0 Peterborough United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oxford United
5-0
AWAY Peterborough United
30% Ball Possession 70%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 6
192 Passes 518
76% Pass Accuracy 89%
POST-MATCH Oxford United vs Peterborough United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oxford United swept aside Peterborough United 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Oxford United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Oxford United had 30% of the ball to Peterborough United's 70%, shots finished 15-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peterborough United led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Oxford United and 1.50 for Peterborough United.

What was the final score of Oxford United vs Peterborough United?

Oxford United 5-0 Peterborough United in the England - 1st Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oxford United vs Peterborough United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Peterborough United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Oxford United 37%, draw 25%, Peterborough United 38%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Peterborough United), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Peterborough United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN1 More England - 1st Division
13 Apr 2024
17:00 Shrewsbury vs Wycombe Wanderers Analysis →
17:00 Fleetwood Town vs Northampton Town Analysis →
17:00 Barnsley vs Reading Analysis →
17:00 Cheltenham Town vs Bristol Rovers Analysis →
17:00 Derby County vs Leyton Orient Analysis →
17:00 Port Vale vs Exeter City Analysis →