Cheltenham Town vs Bristol Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cheltenham Town v Bristol Rovers — Team-Based Signals
Cheltenham Town vs Bristol Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Cheltenham Town
İN1
4-1
HT 3-0
Cheltenham Town
İNTK
2-1
HT 2-0
Cheltenham Town
İN1
1-4
HT 0-4
Bristol Rovers
İN1
2-0
HT 0-0
Cheltenham Town
İNTK
0-2
HT 0-0
Cheltenham Town
İNLK
Cheltenham Town 1-3 Bristol Rovers — Actual Match Statistics
Bristol Rovers saw off Cheltenham Town 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Cheltenham Town at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Cheltenham Town had 50% of the ball to Bristol Rovers's 50%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.48 to 2.71.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bristol Rovers led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cheltenham Town and 2.17 for Bristol Rovers.
What was the final score of Cheltenham Town vs Bristol Rovers?
Cheltenham Town 1-3 Bristol Rovers in the England - 1st Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cheltenham Town vs Bristol Rovers?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cheltenham Town win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Cheltenham Town 50%, draw 24%, Bristol Rovers 26%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.