Stevenage 0-1 Burton Albion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 18 Feb 2025

📅18/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.27
2-3 Goals
36%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.73
6+ Goals
9%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.54
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.9
X/1
15%
4.11
X/2
6%
8.28
X/X
15%
3.96
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
13%
7.36
2/X
7%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-7.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.9pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.1pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stevenage EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Burton Albion EU Bookmakers 25%
-13% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.28/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.45
-22% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
302 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 62%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
23.6 Crosses 14.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stevenage
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Burton Albion
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.86 xG 0.71
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
298 Passes 206
69% Pass Accuracy 59%
25 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.12.2024 Burton Albion Burton Albion 0-4 HT 0-1 Stevenage Stevenage İNTK
24.08.2024 Burton Albion Burton Albion 0-0 HT 0-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
13.04.2024 Stevenage Stevenage 1-2 HT 0-1 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
09.12.2023 Burton Albion Burton Albion 1-2 HT 1-1 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
30.03.2015 Burton Albion Burton Albion 1-1 HT 1-1 Stevenage Stevenage İN2
25.10.2014 Stevenage Stevenage 1-0 HT 0-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stevenage
0-1
AWAY Burton Albion
1.86 xG 1.22
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 3
384 Passes 140
80% Pass Accuracy 59%
36 Box Touches 23
33 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stevenage vs Burton Albion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burton Albion squeezed past Stevenage 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Stevenage at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Stevenage had 67% of the ball to Burton Albion's 33%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.86 to 1.22 — on chances, Stevenage could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stevenage had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Stevenage and 0.67 for Burton Albion.

What was the final score of Stevenage vs Burton Albion?

Stevenage 0-1 Burton Albion in the England - 1st Division on 18/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stevenage vs Burton Albion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stevenage win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Stevenage 43%, draw 29%, Burton Albion 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Stevenage) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stevenage) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN1 More England - 1st Division
18 Feb 2025
22:45 Crawley Town vs Wigan Athletic Analysis →
22:45 Mansfield Town vs Lincoln City Analysis →
22:45 Wycombe Wanderers vs Bristol Rovers Analysis →
22:45 Shrewsbury vs Huddersfield Town Analysis →
22:45 Wrexham vs Leyton Orient Analysis →