Burton Albion 0-4 Stevenage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 10 Dec 2024

📅10/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
39%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.57
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
4.09
6+ Goals
11%
20.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.86
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
7%
16.2
X/1
13%
7.1
X/2
15%
4.08
X/X
12%
4.55
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
18%
2.74
2/X
7%
15.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
26%
+8.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
38%
Away Win
48%
-9.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.3pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burton Albion EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Stevenage EU Bookmakers 52%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -60% / -60%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
-24% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -56%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
266 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burton Albion
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Stevenage
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.77 xG 1.73
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
182 Passes 268
54% Pass Accuracy 67%
11 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.08.2024 Burton Albion Burton Albion 0-0 HT 0-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
13.04.2024 Stevenage Stevenage 1-2 HT 0-1 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
09.12.2023 Burton Albion Burton Albion 1-2 HT 1-1 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
30.03.2015 Burton Albion Burton Albion 1-1 HT 1-1 Stevenage Stevenage İN2
25.10.2014 Stevenage Stevenage 1-0 HT 0-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN2
22.03.2011 Burton Albion Burton Albion 0-2 HT 0-1 Stevenage Stevenage İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burton Albion
0-4
AWAY Stevenage
0.52 xG 2.27
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
277 Passes 385
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Burton Albion vs Stevenage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stevenage swept aside Burton Albion 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Stevenage found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Burton Albion had 43% of the ball to Stevenage's 57%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.52 to 2.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stevenage led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Burton Albion and 1.17 for Stevenage.

What was the final score of Burton Albion vs Stevenage?

Burton Albion 0-4 Stevenage in the England - Futbol League Cup on 10/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burton Albion vs Stevenage?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stevenage win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Burton Albion 35%, draw 26%, Stevenage 38%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stevenage) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stevenage) ✗ Under 2.5
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