Walsall 1-1 Reading — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 10 Dec 2024

📅10/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
36%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.96
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
2.88
6+ Goals
10%
8.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.59
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
34.0
1/X
9%
14.65
X/1
15%
4.45
X/2
12%
7.32
X/X
12%
5.86
2/1
7%
21.7
2/2
16%
5.08
2/X
6%
14.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.0 — our 7% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
49%
-11.5pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.4pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+8.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.3pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walsall EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Reading EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.69/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.24/0.68
-28% / +109% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
271 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 77%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.7
23.1 Crosses 19.6
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walsall
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Reading
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
30.01.2016 Reading Reading 4-0 HT 2-0 Walsall Walsall FAK
28.12.2003 Walsall Walsall 1-1 HT 1-0 Reading Reading İNCL
21.10.2003 Reading Reading 0-1 HT 0-1 Walsall Walsall İNCL
18.01.2003 Reading Reading 0-0 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İNCL
31.08.2002 Walsall Walsall 0-2 HT 0-0 Reading Reading İNCL
21.04.2001 Reading Reading 2-2 HT 2-1 Walsall Walsall İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walsall
1-1
AWAY Reading
3.71 xG 0.59
43% Ball Possession 57%
33 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 5
179 Passes 287
69% Pass Accuracy 74%
48 Box Touches 14
44 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Walsall vs Reading
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walsall and Reading shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Walsall had 43% of the ball to Reading's 57%, shots finished 33-7, expected goals 3.71 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Reading led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Walsall and 1.50 for Reading.

What was the final score of Walsall vs Reading?

Walsall 1-1 Reading in the England - Futbol League Cup on 10/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walsall vs Reading?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walsall win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Walsall 38%, draw 27%, Reading 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Walsall), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Walsall) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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