Stockport County 2-3 Bradford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 10 Dec 2024

Stockport County
2-3 HT 2-2
Bradford City
📅10/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - Futbol League Cup – 2024/2025

Stockport County vs Bradford City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.44
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.16
6+ Goals
11%
11.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.48
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.95
X/1
16%
4.21
X/2
11%
7.84
X/X
10%
5.43
2/1
7%
23.0
2/2
11%
5.82
2/X
8%
15.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 9% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-7.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+6.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.3pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stockport County v Bradford City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stockport County EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Bradford City EU Bookmakers 29%
-49% / -49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.48/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.69
-46% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +29%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
314 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 70%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
30.0 Crosses 18.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Stockport County vs Bradford City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stockport County
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Bradford City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.68 xG 0.84
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
272 Passes 252
66% Pass Accuracy 66%
22 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.12.2023 Bradford City Bradford City 0-0 HT 0-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
15.08.2023 Stockport County Stockport County 1-1 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
24.01.2023 Stockport County Stockport County 0-0 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
08.10.2022 Bradford City Bradford City 0-1 HT 0-1 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
26.02.2011 Bradford City Bradford City 3-2 HT 1-2 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
11.09.2010 Stockport County Stockport County 1-1 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2

Stockport County 2-3 Bradford City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stockport County
2-3
AWAY Bradford City
0.59 xG 2.08
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 3
542 Passes 291
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stockport County vs Bradford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bradford City nicked a narrow win over Stockport County 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Stockport County at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Stockport County had 62% of the ball to Bradford City's 38%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.59 to 2.08 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bradford City's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Stockport County and 0.83 for Bradford City.

What was the final score of Stockport County vs Bradford City?

Stockport County 2-3 Bradford City in the England - Futbol League Cup on 10/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stockport County vs Bradford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stockport County win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Stockport County 44%, draw 25%, Bradford City 31%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stockport County) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stockport County) ✓ BTTS Yes
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