Rotherham United 3-2 Tranmere Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 10 Dec 2024

Rotherham United
3-2 HT 1-0
Tranmere Rovers
📅10/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Futbol League Cup – 2024/2025

Rotherham United vs Tranmere Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.55
2-3 Goals
45%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.09
6+ Goals
10%
10.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.55 — our 24% vs market 21.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.96
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.6
X/1
15%
3.76
X/2
7%
11.4
X/X
13%
5.79
2/1
6%
22.55
2/2
11%
8.94
2/X
8%
17.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
61%
-13.6pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.7pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+7.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.4pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rotherham United v Tranmere Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rotherham United EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Tranmere Rovers EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
2.09/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.59
+21% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +102%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
314 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 65%
33.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
33.9 Crosses 16.4
3.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

Rotherham United vs Tranmere Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rotherham United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.69 xG 1.53
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
177 Passes 144
61% Pass Accuracy 55%
17 Box Touches 20
31 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
31.08.2019 Rotherham United Rotherham United 1-1 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN1
28.01.2014 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-2 HT 0-1 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1
22.10.2013 Rotherham United Rotherham United 1-1 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN1
01.01.2007 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 2-1 HT 2-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1
12.09.2006 Rotherham United Rotherham United 2-1 HT 2-1 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN1
08.04.2006 Rotherham United Rotherham United 2-0 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN1

Rotherham United 3-2 Tranmere Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rotherham United
3-2
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
2.61 xG 1.12
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
13 Corners 0
299 Passes 411
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
31 Box Touches 13
35 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rotherham United vs Tranmere Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rotherham United squeezed past Tranmere Rovers 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rotherham United as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Rotherham United had 45% of the ball to Tranmere Rovers's 55%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 2.61 to 1.12 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Rotherham United's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rotherham United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rotherham United and 1.00 for Tranmere Rovers.

What was the final score of Rotherham United vs Tranmere Rovers?

Rotherham United 3-2 Tranmere Rovers in the England - Futbol League Cup on 10/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rotherham United vs Tranmere Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rotherham United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Rotherham United 47%, draw 28%, Tranmere Rovers 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rotherham United), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rotherham United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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