Cheltenham Town 2-1 Cambridge United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 10 Dec 2024

Cheltenham Town
2-1 HT 0-1
Cambridge United
📅10/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Futbol League Cup – 2024/2025

Cheltenham Town vs Cambridge United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.19
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.34
6+ Goals
9%
12.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 32% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.39
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
14%
5.22
X/2
10%
6.05
X/X
14%
4.68
2/1
11%
27.5
2/2
17%
4.16
2/X
8%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.6pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.4pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cheltenham Town v Cambridge United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cheltenham Town EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 37%
+28% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.73/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/2.33
+19% / +92% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +128% / -48%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
267 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 71%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
20.5 Crosses 23.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.0

Cheltenham Town vs Cambridge United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cheltenham Town
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Cambridge United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.79 xG 1.37
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
263 Passes 239
67% Pass Accuracy 66%
25 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.02.2024 Cambridge United Cambridge United 0-1 HT 0-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN1
21.10.2023 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
14.02.2023 Cambridge United Cambridge United 1-2 HT 0-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN1
13.09.2022 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
30.04.2022 Cambridge United Cambridge United 2-2 HT 1-1 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN1
07.12.2021 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 0-5 HT 0-1 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1

Cheltenham Town 2-1 Cambridge United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cheltenham Town
2-1
AWAY Cambridge United
1.82 xG 1.66
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
223 Passes 239
68% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cheltenham Town vs Cambridge United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cheltenham Town nicked a narrow win over Cambridge United 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Cheltenham Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cheltenham Town had 49% of the ball to Cambridge United's 51%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.82 to 1.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cheltenham Town had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cheltenham Town and 1.50 for Cambridge United.

What was the final score of Cheltenham Town vs Cambridge United?

Cheltenham Town 2-1 Cambridge United in the England - Futbol League Cup on 10/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cheltenham Town vs Cambridge United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cheltenham Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cheltenham Town 38%, draw 29%, Cambridge United 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cheltenham Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cheltenham Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNTK More England - Futbol League Cup
10 Dec 2024
22:00 Burton Albion vs Stevenage Analysis →
22:00 Chesterfield vs Wigan Athletic Analysis →
22:00 Walsall vs Reading Analysis →
22:00 Charlton Athletic vs Leyton Orient Analysis →
22:00 Stockport County vs Bradford City Analysis →
22:00 Rotherham United vs Tranmere Rovers Analysis →