Cambridge United 0-1 Cheltenham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.47
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
4.7
6+ Goals
9%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.35
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.95
X/1
12%
4.65
X/2
9%
5.89
X/X
12%
3.88
2/1
9%
31.0
2/2
15%
4.64
2/X
13%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.7pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cheltenham Town EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -18%
1.13/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.41
-17% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
286 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 69%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
20.0 Crosses 16.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambridge United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Cheltenham Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.46 xG 0.79
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
237 Passes 258
66% Pass Accuracy 67%
20 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.10.2023 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
14.02.2023 Cambridge United Cambridge United 1-2 HT 0-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN1
13.09.2022 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
30.04.2022 Cambridge United Cambridge United 2-2 HT 1-1 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN1
07.12.2021 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 0-5 HT 0-1 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
23.02.2021 Cambridge United Cambridge United 0-1 HT 0-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambridge United
0-1
AWAY Cheltenham Town
1.83 xG 0.94
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
216 Passes 222
61% Pass Accuracy 63%
16 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cambridge United vs Cheltenham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cheltenham Town squeezed past Cambridge United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Cheltenham Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cambridge United had 50% of the ball to Cheltenham Town's 50%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.83 to 0.94 — on chances, Cambridge United could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cheltenham Town led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cambridge United and 1.33 for Cheltenham Town.

What was the final score of Cambridge United vs Cheltenham Town?

Cambridge United 0-1 Cheltenham Town in the England - 1st Division on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambridge United vs Cheltenham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cambridge United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cambridge United 39%, draw 30%, Cheltenham Town 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cambridge United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cambridge United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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