Lincoln City 2-1 Fleetwood Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.69
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.25
6+ Goals
10%
21.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.96
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
18%
4.4
X/2
12%
6.53
X/X
16%
4.15
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
8%
5.14
2/X
7%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.2pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lincoln City EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
1.19/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.39
-22% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
352 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 69%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
16.5 Crosses 17.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lincoln City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Fleetwood Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.13 xG 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
321 Passes 278
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
25.03.2023 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
27.08.2022 Lincoln City Lincoln City 2-2 HT 2-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
05.04.2022 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
14.08.2021 Lincoln City Lincoln City 2-1 HT 0-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
02.03.2021 Lincoln City Lincoln City 1-2 HT 0-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lincoln City
2-1
AWAY Fleetwood Town
1.74 xG 0.74
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
324 Passes 246
76% Pass Accuracy 67%
33 Box Touches 10
33 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lincoln City vs Fleetwood Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lincoln City nicked a narrow win over Fleetwood Town 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lincoln City as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lincoln City had 55% of the ball to Fleetwood Town's 45%, shots finished 20-3, expected goals 1.74 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lincoln City and 1.33 for Fleetwood Town.

What was the final score of Lincoln City vs Fleetwood Town?

Lincoln City 2-1 Fleetwood Town in the England - 1st Division on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lincoln City vs Fleetwood Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lincoln City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lincoln City 44%, draw 29%, Fleetwood Town 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lincoln City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lincoln City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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