Wycombe Wanderers 5-2 Peterborough United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.66
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.23
6+ Goals
11%
11.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.66 — our 29% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.46
1/2
7%
24.6
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
10%
6.5
X/2
11%
4.86
X/X
16%
4.82
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
22%
2.97
2/X
6%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
31%
-0.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.1pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.9pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wycombe Wanderers EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterborough United EU Bookmakers 48%
+3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.22/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.93
+16% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
264 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 72%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
18.4 Crosses 19.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wycombe Wanderers
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Peterborough United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.40 xG 1.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
162 Passes 333
60% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-2 HT 2-1 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
01.01.2023 Peterborough United Peterborough United 0-3 HT 0-1 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
18.10.2022 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İNTK
15.10.2022 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 3-1 HT 1-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
21.01.2020 Peterborough United Peterborough United 4-0 HT 2-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
05.10.2019 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 3-3 HT 0-2 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wycombe Wanderers
5-2
AWAY Peterborough United
1.29 xG 1.39
32% Ball Possession 68%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 11
197 Passes 509
65% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 27
8 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wycombe Wanderers vs Peterborough United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wycombe Wanderers cruised past Peterborough United 5-2. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (30% / 30% / 40%) promised a tight game; Wycombe Wanderers found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Wycombe Wanderers had 32% of the ball to Peterborough United's 68%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.29 to 1.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wycombe Wanderers had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Wycombe Wanderers and 1.83 for Peterborough United.

What was the final score of Wycombe Wanderers vs Peterborough United?

Wycombe Wanderers 5-2 Peterborough United in the England - 1st Division on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wycombe Wanderers vs Peterborough United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Peterborough United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Wycombe Wanderers 30%, draw 30%, Peterborough United 40%. The final score 5-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Peterborough United) ✗ Under 2.5
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