Blackpool 1-1 Oxford United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 10 Feb 2024

Blackpool
1-1 HT 1-1
Oxford United
📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Blackpool vs Oxford United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.91
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.92
6+ Goals
10%
17.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.92 — our 26% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.53
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.05
X/1
10%
4.1
X/2
9%
7.81
X/X
8%
4.42
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
26.0
2/2
12%
6.2
2/X
11%
14.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 9% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-6.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+6.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.8pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Blackpool v Oxford United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blackpool EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Oxford United EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.45/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.22
+6% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
306 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 71%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
18.8 Crosses 16.4
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.1

Blackpool vs Oxford United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blackpool
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Oxford United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.21 xG 1.08
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
240 Passes 333
67% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Oxford United Oxford United 1-1 HT 1-0 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
21.05.2021 Blackpool Blackpool 3-3 HT 2-1 Oxford United Oxford United İN1
18.05.2021 Oxford United Oxford United 0-3 HT 0-2 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
20.03.2021 Oxford United Oxford United 0-2 HT 0-2 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
12.12.2020 Blackpool Blackpool 0-0 HT 0-0 Oxford United Oxford United İN1
01.02.2020 Oxford United Oxford United 2-1 HT 2-1 Blackpool Blackpool İN1

Blackpool 1-1 Oxford United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blackpool
1-1
AWAY Oxford United
1.06 xG 1.38
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
317 Passes 239
70% Pass Accuracy 61%
25 Box Touches 15
28 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Blackpool vs Oxford United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackpool and Oxford United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Blackpool at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Blackpool had 54% of the ball to Oxford United's 46%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.06 to 1.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blackpool had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Blackpool and 1.00 for Oxford United.

What was the final score of Blackpool vs Oxford United?

Blackpool 1-1 Oxford United in the England - 1st Division on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blackpool vs Oxford United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blackpool win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Blackpool 47%, draw 25%, Oxford United 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Blackpool), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Blackpool) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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