Reading 2-0 Charlton Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.75
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.18
6+ Goals
12%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.06
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
12%
4.85
X/2
10%
6.42
X/X
9%
4.97
2/1
7%
24.15
2/2
16%
4.37
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.15
Value flag · 2/X at 13.15 — our 10% vs market 4.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.9pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reading EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlton Athletic EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.49/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.31
+25% / +79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
315 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 73%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
19.4 Crosses 16.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reading
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Charlton Athletic
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.46 xG 1.54
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
368 Passes 324
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.12.2023 Reading Reading 1-1 HT 0-1 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İNTK
21.10.2023 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 4-0 HT 0-0 Reading Reading İN1
11.07.2020 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 0-1 HT 0-1 Reading Reading İNCL
31.08.2019 Reading Reading 0-2 HT 0-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İNCL
27.02.2016 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 3-4 HT 1-3 Reading Reading İNCL
17.10.2015 Reading Reading 1-0 HT 0-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reading
2-0
AWAY Charlton Athletic
0.88 xG 0.36
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 5
257 Passes 192
68% Pass Accuracy 62%
22 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Reading vs Charlton Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reading got the better of Charlton Athletic 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Reading as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Reading had 55% of the ball to Charlton Athletic's 45%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.88 to 0.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Reading had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Reading and 1.67 for Charlton Athletic.

What was the final score of Reading vs Charlton Athletic?

Reading 2-0 Charlton Athletic in the England - 1st Division on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reading vs Charlton Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Reading win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Reading 42%, draw 26%, Charlton Athletic 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Reading) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Reading) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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