Chesterfield 3-2 Wigan Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 10 Dec 2024

Chesterfield
3-2 HT 1-1
Wigan Athletic
📅10/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Futbol League Cup – 2024/2025

Chesterfield vs Wigan Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.25
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
46%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.69
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.02
6+ Goals
12%
9.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.29
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
29.5
1/X
7%
12.3
X/1
8%
5.42
X/2
15%
6.4
X/X
10%
4.83
2/1
9%
26.0
2/2
20%
4.16
2/X
6%
12.45
Value flag · 1/2 at 29.5 — our 11% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
41%
-9.2pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.5pp
46%
Away Win
32%
+13.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chesterfield v Wigan Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chesterfield EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Wigan Athletic EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.93/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.57
+9% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
21.0 Crosses 16.8
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

Chesterfield vs Wigan Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chesterfield
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Wigan Athletic
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
The Meetings
25.07.2018 Chesterfield Chesterfield 1-1 HT 0-1 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic HAZ
16.01.2016 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 3-1 HT 3-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN1
05.09.2015 Chesterfield Chesterfield 2-3 HT 0-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
01.03.2003 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 3-1 HT 2-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN1
14.09.2002 Chesterfield Chesterfield 0-0 HT 0-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
06.04.2002 Chesterfield Chesterfield 1-2 HT 1-2 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1

Chesterfield 3-2 Wigan Athletic — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chesterfield
3-2
AWAY Wigan Athletic
1.35 xG 1.11
64% Ball Possession 36%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
502 Passes 247
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chesterfield vs Wigan Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chesterfield edged past Wigan Athletic 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Wigan Athletic at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Chesterfield had 64% of the ball to Wigan Athletic's 36%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 1.35 to 1.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wigan Athletic led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chesterfield and 2.00 for Wigan Athletic.

What was the final score of Chesterfield vs Wigan Athletic?

Chesterfield 3-2 Wigan Athletic in the England - Futbol League Cup on 10/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chesterfield vs Wigan Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wigan Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Chesterfield 31%, draw 23%, Wigan Athletic 46%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wigan Athletic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wigan Athletic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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