Wrexham 1-2 Leyton Orient — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 18 Feb 2025

📅18/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.54
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
24%
4.12
6+ Goals
10%
20.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.06
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.4
X/1
13%
4.75
X/2
11%
6.75
X/X
14%
4.09
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
15%
5.28
2/X
10%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-6.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.5pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wrexham EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 31%
+11% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +13%
1.04/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.97
+30% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +34%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
304 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 68%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
25.8 Crosses 16.4
1.1 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wrexham
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Leyton Orient
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.29 xG 1.14
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
235 Passes 383
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 26
21 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
28.09.2024 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 0-0 HT 0-0 Wrexham Wrexham İN1
09.03.2019 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 1-0 HT 0-0 Wrexham Wrexham İBSL
24.11.2018 Wrexham Wrexham 0-2 HT 0-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İBSL
21.04.2018 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 1-0 HT 1-0 Wrexham Wrexham İBSL
28.10.2017 Wrexham Wrexham 2-2 HT 1-1 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İBSL
21.01.2006 Wrexham Wrexham 1-2 HT 0-2 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wrexham
1-2
AWAY Leyton Orient
1.37 xG 0.96
48% Ball Possession 52%
20 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
236 Passes 296
61% Pass Accuracy 68%
36 Box Touches 20
28 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wrexham vs Leyton Orient
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leyton Orient nicked a narrow win over Wrexham 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Leyton Orient made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Wrexham had 48% of the ball to Leyton Orient's 52%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 1.37 to 0.96 — the balance of chances actually favoured Wrexham.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leyton Orient led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Wrexham and 1.33 for Leyton Orient.

What was the final score of Wrexham vs Leyton Orient?

Wrexham 1-2 Leyton Orient in the England - 1st Division on 18/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wrexham vs Leyton Orient?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wrexham win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Wrexham 38%, draw 29%, Leyton Orient 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wrexham) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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