Ipswich Town 1-1 Leicester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 7 Mar 2026

Ipswich Town
1-1 HT 0-1
Leicester City
📅07/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Championship – 2025/2026

Ipswich Town vs Leicester City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.97
Over 2.5
58%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.85
No
42%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.45
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.23
6+ Goals
14%
11.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.23 — our 26% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.94
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
7%
15.55
X/1
15%
3.97
X/2
7%
11.0
X/X
10%
5.58
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
22.25
2/2
9%
9.06
2/X
6%
17.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.25 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Over 2.5 — 58% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
61%
-3.9pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.2pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+1.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
47%
-5.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
53%
+5.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
50%
+8.3pp
42%
BTTS No
50%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ipswich Town v Leicester City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ipswich Town EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Leicester City EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -12%
2.02/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/2.00
+20% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -26%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
424 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
21.1 Crosses 10.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Ipswich Town vs Leicester City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ipswich Town
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Leicester City
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.19 xG 0.99
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
345 Passes 386
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.12.2025 Leicester City Leicester City 3-1 HT 2-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
18.05.2025 Leicester City Leicester City 2-0 HT 1-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNP
02.11.2024 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
22.01.2024 Leicester City Leicester City 1-1 HT 1-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
26.12.2023 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Leicester City Leicester City İNCL
22.02.2014 Leicester City Leicester City 3-0 HT 2-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL

Ipswich Town 1-1 Leicester City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ipswich Town
1-1
AWAY Leicester City
1.85 xG 0.22
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
435 Passes 196
84% Pass Accuracy 66%
41 Box Touches 10
35 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ipswich Town vs Leicester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ipswich Town and Leicester City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Ipswich Town carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Ipswich Town had 64% of the ball to Leicester City's 36%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 1.85 to 0.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leicester City led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ipswich Town and 1.83 for Leicester City.

What was the final score of Ipswich Town vs Leicester City?

Ipswich Town 1-1 Leicester City in the England - Championship on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ipswich Town vs Leicester City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ipswich Town win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Ipswich Town 57%, draw 24%, Leicester City 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ipswich Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ipswich Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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