Sligo Rovers 2-1 Drogheda United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.55
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
22%
4.08
6+ Goals
8%
20.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.63
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
6%
14.35
X/1
15%
6.04
X/2
14%
4.83
X/X
13%
4.22
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
17%
3.29
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.0pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sligo Rovers EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +0%
1.13/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.49
-7% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
249 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 69%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.8
18.3 Crosses 10.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sligo Rovers
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Drogheda United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.03 xG 1.60
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
290 Passes 140
71% Pass Accuracy 55%
20 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.09.2025 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 1-1 HT 1-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
20.06.2025 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-0 HT 1-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
02.05.2025 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 2-2 HT 0-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
21.02.2025 Drogheda United Drogheda United 3-0 HT 1-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
23.08.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 7-0 HT 3-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
03.06.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 2-1 HT 2-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sligo Rovers
2-1
AWAY Drogheda United
1.85 xG 1.25
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
272 Passes 146
67% Pass Accuracy 49%
19 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sligo Rovers vs Drogheda United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sligo Rovers squeezed past Drogheda United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Sligo Rovers found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sligo Rovers had 58% of the ball to Drogheda United's 42%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 1.85 to 1.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Drogheda United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sligo Rovers and 2.50 for Drogheda United.

What was the final score of Sligo Rovers vs Drogheda United?

Sligo Rovers 2-1 Drogheda United in the Ireland - Premier League on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sligo Rovers vs Drogheda United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Drogheda United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sligo Rovers 34%, draw 27%, Drogheda United 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Drogheda United), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Drogheda United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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