Drogheda United 1-0 Sligo Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 20 Jun 2025

📅20/06/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.86
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.76
6+ Goals
11%
16.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 30% vs market 28.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.53
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.2
X/1
17%
4.36
X/2
8%
8.23
X/X
11%
4.65
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
13%
6.69
2/X
6%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-1.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.3pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Sligo Rovers EU Bookmakers 27%
+11% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
1.30/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.40
+43% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -25%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
250 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 67%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
18.5 Crosses 14.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Drogheda United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sligo Rovers
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.79 xG 0.81
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
165 Passes 270
57% Pass Accuracy 67%
24 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.05.2025 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 2-2 HT 0-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
21.02.2025 Drogheda United Drogheda United 3-0 HT 1-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
23.08.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 7-0 HT 3-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
03.06.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 2-1 HT 2-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
26.04.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 3-1 HT 1-1 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
16.03.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 3-1 HT 2-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Drogheda United
1-0
AWAY Sligo Rovers
1.64 xG 2.16
36% Ball Possession 64%
16 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 6
164 Passes 361
65% Pass Accuracy 82%
29 Box Touches 34
17 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Drogheda United vs Sligo Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drogheda United edged past Sligo Rovers 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Drogheda United as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Drogheda United had 36% of the ball to Sligo Rovers's 64%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.64 to 2.16 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sligo Rovers.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Drogheda United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Drogheda United and 1.33 for Sligo Rovers.

What was the final score of Drogheda United vs Sligo Rovers?

Drogheda United 1-0 Sligo Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 20/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Drogheda United vs Sligo Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Drogheda United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Drogheda United 49%, draw 24%, Sligo Rovers 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Drogheda United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Drogheda United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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