Galway United 3-1 St Patricks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 20 Jun 2025

📅20/06/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.62
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.11
6+ Goals
9%
20.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.39
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
8%
13.35
X/1
13%
6.06
X/2
16%
5.44
X/X
17%
4.04
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.7
2/X
6%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-3.9pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.5pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+2.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.5pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galway United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY St Patricks EU Bookmakers 40%
-10% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -12%
1.43/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.00
+3% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
353 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
20.6 Crosses 18.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galway United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY St Patricks
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.62 xG 0.70
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
209 Passes 288
67% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.05.2025 St Patricks St Patricks 2-0 HT 2-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
21.02.2025 Galway United Galway United 2-1 HT 2-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
18.10.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 2-1 HT 1-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
11.08.2024 Galway United Galway United 1-1 HT 0-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
31.05.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 2-1 HT 1-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
16.02.2024 Galway United Galway United 0-1 HT 0-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galway United
3-1
AWAY St Patricks
1.12 xG 1.70
34% Ball Possession 66%
15 Total Shots 23
6 Shots on Target 11
8 Corners 9
139 Passes 330
63% Pass Accuracy 78%
34 Box Touches 32
17 Crosses 33
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Galway United vs St Patricks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galway United saw off St Patricks 3-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 31% / 39% — and on the day Galway United made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Galway United had 34% of the ball to St Patricks's 66%, shots finished 15-23, expected goals 1.12 to 1.70 — the balance of chances actually favoured St Patricks.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St Patricks led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Galway United and 1.50 for St Patricks.

What was the final score of Galway United vs St Patricks?

Galway United 3-1 St Patricks in the Ireland - Premier League on 20/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galway United vs St Patricks?

Before kick-off our model rated an St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Galway United 30%, draw 31%, St Patricks 39%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (St Patricks) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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